Foreign Investment in Southeast Asia: the Role of Political Stability, Trade Openness, Regulatory Quality, and Gross Domestic Product (2014–2023)

  • Muhammad Fariz Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta, Surakarta, Indonesia
  • Nur Hidayah Universitas Muhammadiyah Surakarta, Surakarta, Indonesia
Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Trade Openness, Political Stability, Regulatory Quality, GDP

Abstract

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) plays a crucial role in promoting economic growth and development, particularly in developing regions such as Southeast Asia. This study aims to analyze the determinants of FDI by examining the effects of institutional and macroeconomic factors, namely political stability, regulatory quality, trade openness, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) across 11 Southeast Asian countries during the period 2014–2023. Unlike previous studies that typically focus on limited variables or a single country, this research employs a panel data approach across countries and time to provide a more comprehensive analysis. The analytical method used is panel data regression with Common Effect Model (CEM), Fixed Effect Model (FEM), and Random Effect Model (REM), with the best model selected through Chow, Hausman, and Lagrange Multiplier tests. The results indicate that trade openness and GDP have a positive and significant effect on FDI, confirming that market size and international trade integration are key factors in attracting foreign investment. Meanwhile, political stability and regulatory quality do not have a significant effect on FDI.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Aberu, F. (2023). Governance, Investors Motivations and Foreign Direct Investment Inflow in Selected African Countries: Does John Dunning’s Eclectic Paradigm Matters? Journal of Legal Studies “Vasile Goldiş,” 32(46), 55–66. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2478/jles-2023-0011

Afif, F. Y. (2022). Daya saing dan foreign direct investment. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan, 11(1), 52–59. DOI: https://doi.org/10.23960/jep.v11i1.447

Albab, U. (2025). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Nilai Tukar dan Keterbukaan Perdagangan terhadap FDI di Indonesia. Ekopedia: Jurnal Ilmiah Ekonomi, 1(4), 2094–2103. https://doi.org/10.63822/hn37bd83

Batschauer da Cruz, C. B., Eliete Floriani, D., & Amal, M. (2022). The OLI Paradigm as a comprehensive model of FDI determinants: A sub-national approach. International Journal of Emerging Markets, 17(1), 145–176. DOI:10.1108/IJOEM-07-2019-0517

Behera, P., & Sethi, N. (2022). Nexus between environment regulation, FDI, and green technology innovation in OECD countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(35), 52940–52953. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19458-7

Bohle, D., & Regan, A. (2021). The Comparative Political Economy of Growth Models: Explaining the Continuity of FDI-Led Growth in Ireland and Hungary. Politics & Society, 49(1), 75–106. https://doi.org/10.1177/0032329220985723

Darkwah, J. A., Boohene, D., Maxwell, A., Agbokah, E. T., & Oyekunle, D. O. (2024). Historic Account and Underlying Factors of FDI Inflows to Sub-Saharan Africa: An OLI Theory Approach. International Journal of Research in Business Studies, 9(1), 111–146. DOI:10.20414/jed.v5i2.6809

Dunning, J. H. (2003). The changing geography of foreign direct investment: Explanations and implications. Dalam Globalization, foreign direct investment and technology transfers (hlm. 61–103). Retrieved from : Routledge. https://www.taylorfrancis.com/chapters/edit/10.4324/9780203193624-9/changing-geography-foreign-direct-investment-john-dunning

Fitriani, S. A., Hakim, D. B., & Widyastutik, W. (2021). Analisis Kointegrasi Keterbukaan Perdagangan dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik, 12(2), 103–116. https://doi.org/10.22212/jekp.v12i2.2033

Georgescu, I., & Kinnunen, J. (2024). Effects of FDI, GDP and energy use on ecological footprint in Finland: An ARDL approach. World Development Sustainability, 4, 100157. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wds.2024.100157

Hasan, M. A., Nahiduzzaman, K. M., Aldosary, A. S., Hewage, K., & Sadiq, R. (2022). Nexus of economic growth, energy consumption, FDI and emissions: A tale of Bangladesh. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 24(5), 6327–6348. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01704-6

Isbahi, M. B., Zuana, M. M. M. ., & Mariana, E. R. . (2022). The Technology Strategy in Website Communication Media in Improving Business Activities. Majapahit Journal of Islamic Finance and Management, 1(2), 126–138. https://doi.org/10.31538/mjifm.v1i2.17

Kaushal, L. A. (2021). Impact of institutional and regulatory quality on FDI inflow: Case of a developing Indian economy. Cogent Economics & Finance, 9(1), 1985201. https://doi.org/10.1080/23322039.2021.1985201

Kumari, R., Shabbir, M. S., Saleem, S., Yahya Khan, G., Abbasi, B. A., & Lopez, L. B. (2023). An empirical analysis among foreign direct investment, trade openness and economic growth: Evidence from the Indian economy. South Asian Journal of Business Studies, 12(1), 127–149. DOI:10.1108/SAJBS-06-2020-0199

Lee, J. (2023). Foreign direct investment in political influence. International Studies Quarterly, 67(1), sqad005. DOI:10.1093/isq/sqad005

Maharani, I. A. E., & Setyowati, E. (2024). Analisis Determinan Foreign Direct Investment di ASEAN-6. Jurnal Informatika Ekonomi Bisnis, 177–183. https://doi.org/10.37034/infeb.v6i1.830

Millati, N., & Zulfa, F. N. (2023). Analisis Pengaruh Produk Domestik Bruto (PDB), Nilai Tukar, dan Suku Bunga terhadap Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) di Indonesia Periode Tahun 2015Q1–2022Q4. Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan, 9(16), 233–249. DOI: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8238096

Musabeh, A. (2018). Investment policies and determinants of FDI inflows: An analysis of the last two decades in five North African countries [Master’s Thesis, Kadir Has Üniversitesi]. Retrieved from : https://search.proquest.com/openview/14b523e005647c4bfdac6be8ef480434/1?pq-origsite=gscholar&cbl=2026366&diss=y

Nisa, E. L. K., & Juliprijanto, W. (2022). Analisis Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Investasi Asing Langsung Di Indonesia Pada Tahun 1989-2019. Transekonomika: Akuntansi, Bisnis Dan Keuangan, 2(1), 29–44. DOI: https://doi.org/10.55047/transekonomika.v2i1.102

Prasetyo, A. D., Budiono, A. R., & Hadiyantina, S. (2022). Politik Hukum Perubahan Norma Perizinan dan Iklim Investasi Dalam Undang-Undang Cipta Kerja Menggunakan Metode Omnibus Law. Media Iuris, 5(2). Retrieved from : https://e-journal.unair.ac.id/MI/article/download/36165/21684

Rakshit, B. (2022). Dynamics between trade openness, FDI and economic growth: Evidence from an emerging economy. Journal of International Trade Law and Policy, 21(1), 16–41. https://doi.org/10.1108/JITLP-01-2021-0004

Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage, M. M., Epuran, G., & Tescașiu, B. (2021). Causal links between trade openness and foreign direct investment in Romania. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 14(3), 90. DOI:10.3390/jrfm14030090

Raza, S. A., Shah, N., & Arif, I. (2021). Relationship Between FDI and Economic Growth in the Presence of Good Governance System: Evidence from OECD Countries. Global Business Review, 22(6), 1471–1489. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150919833484

Renaldo, L. (2020). Analisis Faktor-Faktor Yang Mempengaruhi Foreign Direct Investment Di Negara ASEAN Plus Three (Studi Kasus Pada 8 Negara ASEAN Plus Three). Retrieved from : https://dspace.uii.ac.id/bitstream/handle/123456789/24114/16313147%20Ladrip%20Renaldo.pdf?sequence=1

Safira, A., & Setyowati, E. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Ekspor, Impor dan Investasi Asing Langsung terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di ASEAN-4 Tahun 2018-2023. Journal of Accounting and Finance Management, 6(2), 861–870. https://doi.org/10.38035/jafm.v6i2.1778

Santos, A., & Forte, R. (2021). Environmental regulation and FDI attraction: A bibliometric analysis of the literature. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(7), 8873–8888. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-11091-6

Sarwedi, S. (2002). Investasi Asing Langsung Di Indonesia Dan Faktor Yang Mempengaruhinya. Jurnal Akuntansi Dan Keuangan, 4(1), 17–35. DOI: 10.9744/jak.4.1.pp.

Soomro, A. N., Kumar, J., & Kumari, J. (2022). The dynamic relationship between FDI, ICT, trade openness, and economic growth: Evidence from BRICS countries. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business, 9(2), 295–303. DOI:10.13106/jafeb.2022.vol9.no2.0295

Tomayahu, N. A., Kumaat, R. J., & Mandeij, D. (2021). Analisis Pengaruh Nilai Tukar, PDB Tiongkok, dan Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) terhadap Neraca Perdagangan Di Indonesia (2000-2019). Jurnal EMBA: Jurnal Riset Ekonomi, Manajemen, Bisnis Dan Akuntansi, 9(1). Retrieved from : https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/index.php/emba/article/view/32987

Uguru, N. E., Chika, A. D., & Ngwobia, E. U. (t.t.). The Role Of Macroeconomic Stability And Institutional Quality In Attracting Foreign Direct Investment In Nigeria. Accounting and Business, 2(4), 9–17. retrieved from : https://zenodo.org/records/15190743

Wilantari, R. N., Saragih, G. S., & Prianto, F. W. (2020). Persepsi korupsi dan kondisi makroekonomi terhadap investasi asing di Indonesia, Filipina dan Thailand. Media Trend, 15(1), 174–184. DOI:10.21107/mediatrend.v15i1.6745

Xu, C., Han, M., Dossou, T. A. M., & Bekun, F. V. (2021). Trade openness, FDI, and income inequality: Evidence from sub‐Saharan Africa. African Development Review, 33(1), 193–203. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12511

Yerrabati, S. (2021). Foreign direct investments, economic growth and regulatory quality in developing countries. The Journal of Developing Areas, 55(4), 147–171. DOI:10.1353/jda.2021.0084

Published
2026-08-03
How to Cite
Fariz, M., & Hidayah, N. (2026). Foreign Investment in Southeast Asia: the Role of Political Stability, Trade Openness, Regulatory Quality, and Gross Domestic Product (2014–2023). Indonesian Interdisciplinary Journal of Sharia Economics (IIJSE), 9(2), 17223-17240. https://doi.org/10.31538/iijse.v9i2.10342