Analysis of the Influence of Severity, Firm Size, Free Asset, and Asset Retrenchment on Corporate Turnaround in the Property & Real Estate Sector Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the Period 2020-2024
Abstrak
This study aims to analyze the effect of severity, firm size, free assets, and asset retrenchment on the success of corporate turnaround in Indonesian property and real estate companies experiencing negative return on assets (ROA). The study uses a quantitative approach with binary logistic regression on 21 companies selected through purposive sampling in the 2020–2024 period. Corporate turnaround is identified based on the company's ability to continuously emerge from negative ROA conditions. The test results show that severity has a negative effect on the probability of corporate turnaround success, although it is not statistically significant. Meanwhile, firm size, free assets, and asset retrenchment also had no significant effect on the success of performance recovery. These findings indicate that conventional financial indicators and ratios are not yet able to adequately explain the dynamics of corporate turnaround in the property and real estate sector, which is asset-intensive, illiquid, and highly influenced by economic cycles. This study confirms the gap between the theoretical framework based on financial indicators and the empirical reality of the property sector, and emphasizes the importance of a multidimensional approach that incorporates non-financial factors in the analysis of corporate turnaround.
##plugins.generic.usageStats.downloads##
Referensi
Altman, E. I. (2000). Predicting financial distress of companies: Revisiting the Z‐Score and ZETA® models. Journal of Banking & Finance, 24(1–2), 1–31.
Altman, E. I. (2018). Corporate financial distress, restructuring, and bankruptcy (4th ed.). Wiley.
Altman, E. I., & Hotchkiss, E. (2006). Corporate financial distress and bankruptcy: Predict and avoid bankruptcy, analyze and invest in distressed debt (3rd ed.). Wiley.
Andrews, D. W. K. (1988). Chi-square diagnostic tests for econometric models: Theory. Econometrica, 56(6), 1419–1453. https://doi.org/10.2307/1913105
Arogyaswamy, K., Barker, V. L., & Yasai-Ardekani, M. (1995). Firm turnarounds: An integrative two-stage model. Journal of Management Studies, 32(4), 493–525. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-6486.1995.tb00786.x
Barker, V. L., & Duhaime, I. M. (1997). Strategic change in the turnaround process: Theory and empirical evidence. Strategic Management Journal, 18(1), 13–38. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1097-0266(199701)18:1<13::AID-SMJ843>3.0.CO;2-X
Beaver, W. H. (2005). Financial ratios as predictors of failure. Journal of Accounting Research, 18(1), 109–131.
Bibeault, D. B. (1999). Corporate turnaround: How managers turn losers into winners. McGraw-Hill.
Bruton, G. D., Ahlstrom, D., & Wan, J. C. (2003). Turnaround in East Asian firms: Evidence from ethnic overseas Chinese communities. Strategic Management Journal, 24(6), 519–540. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.311
Chowdhury, S. D., & Lang, J. R. (1996). Turnaround in small firms: An assessment of efficiency strategies. Journal of Business Research, 36(2), 169–178. https://doi.org/10.1016/0148-2963(95)00159-8
Cooper, D. R., & Schindler, P. S. (2014). Business research methods (12th ed.). New York, NY: McGraw-Hill Education.
Daily, C. M., & Dalton, D. R. (1994). Corporate governance and the bankrupt firm: An empirical assessment. Strategic Management Journal, 15(8), 643–654. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.4250150806
Denis, D. J., & Denis, D. K. (1995). Performance changes following top management dismissals. Journal of Finance, 50(4), 1029–1057. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1995.tb04049.x
Francis, J. D., & Desai, A. B. (2005). Situational and organizational determinants of turnaround. Management Decision, 43(9), 1203–1224. https://doi.org/10.1108/00251740510626272
Hair, J. F., Black, W. C., Babin, B. J., & Anderson, R. E. (2019). Multivariate data analysis (8th ed.). Cengage Learning.
Hambrick, D. C., & Schecter, S. M. (1983). Turnaround strategies for mature industrial-product business units. Academy of Management Journal, 26(2), 231–248. https://doi.org/10.2307/255972
Hosmer, D. W., Lemeshow, S., & Sturdivant, R. X. (2013). Applied logistic regression (3rd ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Isbahi, M. B., Zuana, M. M. M., & Toha, M. (2024). The Multi-Social Relation of the Cattle Industry in the Plaosan Subdistrict Animal Market of Magetan Regency. Malacca: Journal of Management and Business Development, 1(1), 31–46. https://doi.org/10.69965/malacca.v1i1.51
Long, J. S., & Freese, J. (2014). Regression models for categorical dependent variables using Stata (3rd ed.). Stata Press.
Morrow, J. L., Johnson, R. A., & Busenitz, L. W. (2004). The effects of cost and asset retrenchment on firm performance: The overlooked role of a firm’s competitive environment. Journal of Management, 30(2), 189–208. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jm.2003.01.002
Ndofor, H. A., Vanevenhoven, J., & Barker, V. L., III. (2013). Software firm turnarounds in the 1990s: An analysis of reversing decline in a growing, dynamic industry. Strategic Management Journal, 34(9), 1123–1143. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.2060
Norman, P. M., Artz, K. W., & Martinez, R. J. (2013). Does it pay to be different? The role of competitive actions and responses in shaping firm performance. Strategic Management Journal, 34(9), 1123–1143.
Nugroho, A. (2018). Financial distress and corporate turnaround: Evidence from Indonesian public companies. Jurnal Keuangan dan Perbankan, 22(3), 456–469.
Ohlson, J. A. (1980). Financial ratios and the probabilistic prediction of bankruptcy. Journal of Accounting Research, 18(1), 109–131.
Pearce, J. A., & Robbins, D. K. (1993). Toward improved theory and research on business turnaround. Journal of Management, 19(3), 613–636. https://doi.org/10.1177/014920639301900306
Pearce, J. A., II, & Robbins, D. K. (2008). Strategic transformation as the essential last step in the process of business turnaround. Business Horizons, 51(2), 121–130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bushor.2007.10.003
Rico, M., & Puig, F. (2019). The role of firm size in turnaround success: Evidence from European firms. Journal of Business Research, 98, 168–178. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2018.12.052
Robbins, D. K., & Pearce, J. A. (1992). Turnaround: Retrenchment and recovery. Strategic Management Journal, 13(4), 287–309. https://doi.org/10.1002/smj.4250130404
Schmitt, A., & Raisch, S. (2013). Corporate turnaround: The duality of retrenchment and recovery. Journal of Management Studies, 50(7), 1216–1244. https://doi.org/10.1111/joms.12045
Sekaran, U., & Bougie, R. (2016). Research methods for business: A skill-building approach (7th ed.). Chichester, UK: John Wiley & Sons.
Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1992). Liquidation values and debt capacity: A market equilibrium approach. Journal of Finance, 47(4), 1343–1366.
Smith, M., & Graves, C. (2005). Corporate turnaround and financial distress. Managerial Auditing Journal, 20(3), 304–320. https://doi.org/10.1108/02686900510585623
Sudarsanam, S., & Lai, J. (2001). Corporate financial distress and turnaround strategies: An empirical analysis. British Journal of Management, 12(3), 183–199. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8551.00193
Tao, Q., Sun, Y., Zhu, Y., & Zhang, Y. (2020). Strategic configurations of retrenchment and recovery: Evidence from firm turnaround. Management Decision, 58(9), 1937–1956. https://doi.org/10.1108/MD-01-2019-0094
Trahms, C. A., Ndofor, H. A., & Sirmon, D. G. (2013). Organizational decline and turnaround: A review and agenda for future research. Journal of Management, 39(5), 1277–1307.
Whitaker, R. B. (1999). The early stages of financial distress. Journal of Economics and Finance, 23(2), 123–132. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF02745946
White, M. J. (1984). Bankruptcy, liquidation and reorganization. In R. Schmalensee & R. Willig (Eds.), Handbook of industrial organization (Vol. 2, pp. 107–164). Elsevier.
##submission.copyrightStatement##
##submission.license.cc.by-sa4.footer##Authors who publish with this journal agree to the following terms:
- Authors retain copyright and grant the journal right of first publication with the work simultaneously licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License that allows others to share the work with an acknowledgment of the work's authorship and initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are able to enter into separate, additional contractual arrangements for the non-exclusive distribution of the journal's published version of the work (e.g., post it to an institutional repository or publish it in a book), with an acknowledgment of its initial publication in this journal.
- Authors are permitted and encouraged to post their work online (e.g., in institutional repositories or on their website) prior to and during the submission process, as it can lead to productive exchanges, as well as earlier and greater citation of published work.















